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2019 Hurricane Season Outlook



From Dr. Klotzbach of Colorado State University, July 9, 2019:


"We have maintained our forecast for a near-average 2019 Atlantic hurricane season. The tropical Atlantic currently has near-average sea surface temperatures. We believe that the odds of a weak El Niño persisting through August-October have diminished slightly. However, neither ENSO nor tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures look particularly favorable for an active season. The probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the United States coastline and in the Caribbean remains near its long-term average. As is the case with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them. They should prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much activity is predicted.”



Named Storms Avg = 12   Forecast = 14

Hurricanes Avg = 7  Forecast =  6

Major Hurricanes Avg = 2  Forecast =  2

Landfall of a major hurricane along Florida's east coast average probability = 31%. This year's forecast = 31% chance.


2019 Atlantic / Gulf of Mexico / Caribbean Sea Tropical Cyclone Names:


  • Andrea
  • Barry
  • Chantal
  • Dorian
  • Erin
  • Fernand
  • Gabrielle
  • Humberto
  • Imelda
  • Jerry
  • Karen
  • Lorenzo
  • Melissa
  • Nestor
  • Olga
  • Pablo
  • Rebekah
  • Sebastien
  • Tanya
  • Van
  • Wendy